{"id":230771,"date":"2023-11-09T11:03:31","date_gmt":"2023-11-09T19:03:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/?p=230771"},"modified":"2023-11-09T11:03:31","modified_gmt":"2023-11-09T19:03:31","slug":"2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/content\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"2023 CIRCA SURVIVOR \u2013 WEEK 9 REVIEW \/ WEEK 10 PREVIEW"},"content":{"rendered":"

COWBOYS EXPECTED TO BE THIS WEEK’S OVERWHELMING CONSENSUS CONTEST FAVORITE<\/span><\/i><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n

Last week produced relatively tranquil results in the topsy-turvy 2023 Circa Survivor contest.\u00a0 This marked the second straight week of sparse activity and few eliminations.\u00a0 The primary reason was because upsets were in short supply.\u00a0 The slate of 14 games resulted in only 45 bust-outs, leaving 1,154 survivors to continue on into Week 10.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

WEEK 9 REVIEW<\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n

Just as predicted, the vast majority of contestants picked either the Browns or the Saints.\u00a0 Cleveland and New Orleans combined for 93 percent of the contest picks.\u00a0 This was a perfect storm to employ an obvious optimal strategy.\u00a0 Neither the Browns nor the Saints would typically garner such massive support.\u00a0 However, both teams faced badly outclassed opposition, their problems worsened by severe quarterbacking deficiencies.\u00a0 Cleveland won in a romp, leaving 647 contestants happy.\u00a0 New Orleans struggled a bit and put a scare into 458 backers, but also ended up with a victory.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

The week\u2019s only shocker was Atlanta at home losing to Minnesota, which started a new quarterback who had been recently a surprising midweek acquisition.\u00a0 Few bettors or contestants expected the Vikings to go on the road and play one of their best games of the season, and end up winning.\u00a0 The outlier strategy of picking Atlanta, while passing on either Cleveland or New Orleans was based on the hope of a massive upset in either one of those two mismatches (or preferably, two monster upsets).\u00a0 That bold decision backfired and the Falcons\u2019 upset ended up costing 38 contestants a chance to become a multi-millionaire.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

The Patriots-Commanders game produced the only other significant upset impacting the contest.\u00a0 Four picks tagged New England, which lost at home to Washington.\u00a0 A sprinkle of other picks nicked the field down a bit further.\u00a0 By earlier standards, this was the calmest week we\u2019ve seen, so far.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

WEEK 10 PREVIEW<\/span><\/h3>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Fourteen NFL games are scheduled this week (Thursday through Monday).<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

The most obvious pick is a slam dunk.\u00a0 The Cowboys host the Giants.\u00a0 Dallas is a -16.5-point favorite, according to the Circa Sportsbook, making them the highest pointspread chalk of the season.\u00a0 Dallas enters the game off a heartbreaking loss at Philadelphia.\u00a0 They have a habit of taking frustrations out on weaker teams.\u00a0 No team looks weaker at the moment than the Giants.\u00a0 Dallas crushed New York in the season opener 40-0.\u00a0 Even though this is a division rivalry (games which are usually tougher to predict) any bettors and contestants expect a repeat ass-kicking, which is even more likely given the Giants will start a struggling rookie quarterback.\u00a0 Look for Dallas to get picked on at least half the CircaSurvivor tickets this week.\u00a0 Maybe even more.\u00a0 Perhaps even 70 to 75 percent.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

For those who have already used the Cowboys (recall contest rules stating each team can be selected only one time during the season), look for the Bengals to be tagged on a sizable number of remaining entries.\u00a0 Cincinnati hosts Houston, which could be a dangerous foe.\u00a0 Nonetheless, the Bengals are streaking right now, and are laying -7 at Circa, making them one of only three sizable favorites this week.\u00a0 <\/span>Note:\u00a0 We should also point out that some contestants may want to conserve Dallas for later in the season, likely two weeks from now.\u00a0 The Cowboys play in one of only four games in that segment of the contest and face Washington.\u00a0 Dallas should be a sizable favorite for those looking ahead (and all contestants should be looking ahead).<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

The Bills could also generate a few picks, though it\u2019s likely many contestants have already used Buffalo.\u00a0 The Bills are reeling off of losses, but have a great opportunity to rebound on Monday Night Football hosting the sporadic Broncos.\u00a0 Buffalo is favored by -7.5 at Circa, so they\u2019ll certainly be on a few entries, along with the Cowboys and Bengals.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Though it\u2019s very early, a preliminary look toward Week 11 appears flooded with possible mismatches.\u00a0 Perhaps as many as seven games could be between teams with a spread at a touchdown or higher.\u00a0 Hence, next week looks to be pretty easy for most survivor contestants.\u00a0 Accordingly, look for Dallas to be the most popular pick in the contest this week.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

MOST LIKELY PICKS (LOOKING AHEAD) \/ PLAYING FOR FUN<\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n

Even if you can\u2019t afford the $1,000 entry fee this or next season, I advise NFL bettors who want to improve their handicapping skills and learn more about contest strategy to make picks and play, even if it\u2019s just for fun.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Earlier this year, I created a “planning guide” with my expected picks.\u00a0 Unfortunately, my last entry went bust in Week 5.\u00a0 Since then, I’ve advanced — hypothetically speaking.\u00a0 Let’s see how this plays out.\u00a0 Will the Washington loss end up costing me first place and $9.4 million?<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Week 4 \u2014 SFO vs. ARZ \u2026. winner<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 5 \u2014 DET vs. CAR or WASH vs. CHI (Note: I picked Washington, and was eliminated)<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 6 \u2014 MIA vs. CAR \u2026. winner<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 7 \u2014 SEA vs. ARZ \u2026. winner<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 8 \u2014 LAC vs. CHI \u2026. winner<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 9 \u2014 NOR vs. CHI or CLE vs. ARZ \u2026. winner and winner<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 10 \u2014 CIN vs. HOU<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 11 \u2014 DET vs. CHI or JAX vs. TEN<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 12A \u2014 DAL vs. WASH or MIA (road team) at NYJ<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 12B \u2014\u00a0 MIN vs. CHI<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 13 \u2014 PIT vs. ARZ<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 14 \u2014 NOR vs. CAR<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 15 \u2014 CLE vs. CHI<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 16A \u2014 3 toss up games\u2026.going to be problematic<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 16B \u2014 GB (road team) at CAR<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 17 \u2014 PHI vs. ARZ<\/span><\/p>\n

Week 18 \u2014 NWE vs. NYJ (but could be someone unusual because of \u201cmeaningless\u201d final games)<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

WEEKLY SUMMATION<\/span><\/h3>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The 2023 Circa Survivor contest cost $1,000 per entry.\u00a0 There were 9,267 initial entries.\u00a0 After just 9 weeks, there are only 1,154 live entries remaining.\u00a0 Circa Survivor offers a winner-take-all prize of $9,267,000.\u00a0 The implied value per entry is now up to $8,030.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

For the latest updates, be sure to follow @SurvivorSweat on Twitter \/ X.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Also, be advised that active Circa Survivor entries may be for sale on this site at the marketplace.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nolan Dalla is back with a Week 9 review and his Week 10 preview for NFL games and the Circa Survivor contest.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":230772,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,43,8,9],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\n2023 CIRCA SURVIVOR \u2013 WEEK 9 REVIEW \/ WEEK 10 PREVIEW - Survivor Sweat<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nolan Dalla returns with his NFL Week 9 review plus his Week 10 preview and thoughts on what games are best to get through in Circa Survivor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2023 CIRCA SURVIVOR \u2013 WEEK 9 REVIEW \/ WEEK 10 PREVIEW - Survivor Sweat\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nolan Dalla returns with his NFL Week 9 review plus his Week 10 preview and thoughts on what games are best to get through in Circa Survivor.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Survivor Sweat\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-11-09T19:03:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/GettyImages-1486185821.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"683\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Survivor Sweat Staff\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Survivor Sweat Staff\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/\",\"name\":\"2023 CIRCA SURVIVOR \u2013 WEEK 9 REVIEW \/ WEEK 10 PREVIEW - Survivor Sweat\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/content\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/GettyImages-1486185821.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-11-09T19:03:31+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-11-09T19:03:31+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/#\/schema\/person\/794c9e7201256e634b807ecf74fd2236\"},\"description\":\"Nolan Dalla returns with his NFL Week 9 review plus his Week 10 preview and thoughts on what games are best to get through in Circa Survivor.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/article\/2023\/2023-circa-survivor-week-9-review-week-10-preview\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/content\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/GettyImages-1486185821.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/survivorsweat.com\/content\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/GettyImages-1486185821.jpg\",\"width\":1024,\"height\":683,\"caption\":\"KANSAS CITY, MO - APRIL 28: Dallas Cowboys fans react to their teams selection in the second round of the 2023 NFL Draft at Union Station on April 28, 2023 in Kansas City, Missouri. 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